• starman2112@sh.itjust.works
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    6 months ago

    Bro just two more weeks I promise we’ll be done we just need three more weeks to finish our goals bro just a month and we’ll have accomplished this mission bro we just need two more months I promise we’ll be done in Iran if we can just keep bombing them for three months bro we will have a peace deal in the next five months bro please just let us keep fighting bro just six more months bro

  • mycodesucks@lemmy.world
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    6 months ago

    I’m confused. I thought they had 48 hours to reopen the straight, but not really because talks were going well, but still 10 days until the US destroys all the infrastructure, but talks have been productive, and the war is going to be over any day now, but it doesn’t matter because we don’t need the oil, but we could take over the oil fields, but Europe should help us, but we don’t need them and they should do it themselves.

  • tal@lemmy.today
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    6 months ago

    My guess is that Trump doesn’t have Congressional support for an AUMF, which means that all Iran has to do is last for 60 days before Trump has to pull out.

    So basically, if Trump wants some kind of deal that uses the military as leverage, he has to get it closed in a matter of weeks.

  • humanspiral@lemmy.ca
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    6 months ago

    Speech/stategy is “Iran will win war in 2-3 weeks and we are incapable of changing Iran’s victory, but their civilians being gaza/stone aged will give us a sense of superiority”

    Beyond pure demonic evil cruelty, destruction costs $2b/day in operations budget, delays global access to energy/shortages dry spots will occur, Iran will retaliate against future export capacity in the region. US troops are staged in GCC sharing videos of missile strikes on them.

    GCC is extremely disappointing in this war. Zionazi media does keep claiming it is them instead of Israel that wants war/escalation/stone age, but they host US “ground” troops and air/missile attack sites. They blame Iran for self-defense retaliations more than US/Israel evil. Given plain strategy laid out, Iran, to survive better, needs to hit all Gulf desalination pre-emptively, and with drones sink/damage tankers that serve GCC ports every day. Tankers are massive sitting duck capital assets whose loss also means revenue/profit loss from high prices, and propaganda cannot hide the damage.

    Desalination plants means GCC needs the gulf opened in under 10 days (Trump plan subject to insufficient gazafication determination after 3 weeks). GCC military/people can coup their monarchies sticking with US stone age plan. GCC is on wrong side of history here, and should all know that they are on the next domino line of Israel conquests/destruction from a weak Iran.

    China could do more, if only by assuring world that they can guarantee opening the straights (with Iran cooperation) as soon as US leaves. That they can help the GCC rebuild if they have a government not hostile to Iran, and that supporting Gazafication of Iran does not help anyone in the world, especially GCC.

  • neidu3@sh.itjust.works
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    6 months ago

    No country has ever surrendered unconditionally from conventional airstrikes.

    So we’re either going to see boots on the ground (well, they’re in the area), or more tiny hand flailing within that time frame.

    • CompactFlax@discuss.tchncs.de
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      6 months ago

      Especially a country run by a threatened regime. If the IRGC give in, they’re dead. They also have established that they don’t care about the human cost.

        • CompactFlax@discuss.tchncs.de
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          6 months ago

          Absolutely correct. But I think the republicans are actually in worse state than the IRGC; they are the aggressors and clearly perceived that way by a lot of their base, and there’s still the idea of free elections.

  • Foni@piefed.zip
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    6 months ago

    The situation has no way out. Leaving without opening the strait ruins the Gulf States that own a large part of the American economy that would go to hell. Opening the strait without troops on the ground is impossible, troops on the ground will be a pickle in lives and material as not seen since the Second World War. I think before this is over he will be seriously considering the nuclear option, I hope they can stop him before that

      • Foni@piefed.zip
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        6 months ago

        It’s not going to happen, but paying him reparations would really be the right thing to do. Recognizing sovereignty over Hormuz no, that would not be fair or good or acceptable to anyone

    • some_designer_dude@lemmy.world
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      6 months ago

      I hope a clot stops him before then because there’s a much better chance of that than any of the spineless people in government suddenly doing anything about anything.

  • zemo@lemmy.world
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    6 months ago

    Any miltary strategist will say that you can’t bomb your way to a victory.

    • tomi000@lemmy.world
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      6 months ago

      But you absolutely CAN bomb the news about your pedophile rape gang out of the front pages.