• BananaTrifleViolin@piefed.world
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    23 days ago

    Leads in the polls at 35%, so he is far off a majority. People like simple narratives about someone “winning” an election as it’s easier to follow, but realistically even if he “wins” with 35% he will also struggle to form a stable government or exercise power.

    We’re seeing this pattern across Europe at the moment - electorates are fragmented and split, as politicians seem incapable of offering what people actually want. In the UK for example, current opinion polls have us on a 5-way split between Labour, Conservatives, Reform, Green and Lib Dems. This is despite Labour winning a big majority in the election only 2 years ago.

    • ptu@sopuli.xyz
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      22 days ago

      35% in multi-party system is huge. I don’t remember that a party here in Finland have ever had such share. In Bulgaria, the current biggest party has 28% share. They form coalitions with other parties to represent 50%.