Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced late Saturday that it had closed the Strait of Hormuz after firing at and hitting a commercial ship in the critical waterway.
Compared to Iran, Iraq was easy. Iran is built to be a decentralized ideological government and military. Iran has more mountains than the US. Iran has more people than Iraq and Afghanistan combined before those respective wars. The IRGC allegedly only has 150,000 soldiers… because the other 10 million or so are trained and armed ‘civilians.’ That’s not counting the other ~30 million armed farmers. Iran has no real central leadership to decapitate. Iran has no popular revolutionary movement against the current government.
Iraq had a strong centralized government, US trained army, and an incredibly powerful revolutionary force built up against Saddam long before the US invaded. As soon as Saddam was forced to flee and hide, Iraq’s main resistance was over, with actual freedom fighters double backing against the US occupational forces after they realized the US wasn’t there to support revolution, just occupy indefinitely. The biggest problem the US faced was a lack of support for their ‘hearts and minds’ campaign. The actual military work was over in two weeks with basic security work from then to today.
In Iran, if the US invades, there will not be an end to the military work. There will never be a safe place on land the US can be. There will never be an interim government, not even one as weak as the Afghani government pre-taliban take over. There will always be some remnant of the previous Iranian government ready to fight, making independent military trade deals with China and Russia for supplies, and handling their own logistics.
And that’s still not going into detail on the terrain. Close Air Support will not exist during the entire land war. Every single system the US uses for CAS is incapable of handling extremely mountainous terrain with no clear targets.
And remember that I’m pretty sure that both the politicians and the military leadership are probably less capable, due to the fact that Ronald McTrump likes yes-men
Compared to Iran, Iraq was easy. Iran is built to be a decentralized ideological government and military. Iran has more mountains than the US. Iran has more people than Iraq and Afghanistan combined before those respective wars. The IRGC allegedly only has 150,000 soldiers… because the other 10 million or so are trained and armed ‘civilians.’ That’s not counting the other ~30 million armed farmers. Iran has no real central leadership to decapitate. Iran has no popular revolutionary movement against the current government.
Iraq had a strong centralized government, US trained army, and an incredibly powerful revolutionary force built up against Saddam long before the US invaded. As soon as Saddam was forced to flee and hide, Iraq’s main resistance was over, with actual freedom fighters double backing against the US occupational forces after they realized the US wasn’t there to support revolution, just occupy indefinitely. The biggest problem the US faced was a lack of support for their ‘hearts and minds’ campaign. The actual military work was over in two weeks with basic security work from then to today.
In Iran, if the US invades, there will not be an end to the military work. There will never be a safe place on land the US can be. There will never be an interim government, not even one as weak as the Afghani government pre-taliban take over. There will always be some remnant of the previous Iranian government ready to fight, making independent military trade deals with China and Russia for supplies, and handling their own logistics.
And that’s still not going into detail on the terrain. Close Air Support will not exist during the entire land war. Every single system the US uses for CAS is incapable of handling extremely mountainous terrain with no clear targets.
And remember that I’m pretty sure that both the politicians and the military leadership are probably less capable, due to the fact that Ronald McTrump likes yes-men