• TranscendentalEmpire@lemmy.today
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    19 days ago

    Each election is different from another and has different parties running which means that each time the variables are different

    The variables that matter are a constant… It doesn’t matter what parties run so long as the system in which they run is the same.

    I argue that unless you can read the future you cannot prove mathematically what people are going to vote for.

    This does not attempt to vision what party will win, just that one of the main two parties in a two party system will win.

    • brachiosaurus@mander.xyz
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      19 days ago

      The variables that matter are a constant… It doesn’t matter what parties run so long as the system in which they run is the same.

      A person vote is a constant only if you assume that people will always vote in a certain way like voting for the party that has more chances of winning rather than voting for the party they identify with. That’s an assumption that generalize how people vote.

      just that one of the main two parties in a two party system will win.

      There are more than two parties or we wouldn’t be talking about third parties.