• AGM@lemmy.ca
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    2 days ago

    The majority is basically achieved assuming the seats that are up this month go as forecast. It will be interesting to see what happens after that. I wonder if we see more happen because Conservative MPs want to be in government and crossing is their only hope, or if we see fewer as a result of less being offered to entice floor crossers.

    • sbv@sh.itjust.works
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      2 days ago

      I suspect the Conservatives are moving over because

      • Carney’s Liberal Party is very compatible with them and their constituents. He’s removed the few environmental protections Trudeau added, and can’t be painted with the woke brush. He’s quietly propping up Alberta and the fossil fuel industry.
      • the last election was close and they still lost - they assume there will be enough swing voters in their ridings that they could win the next election
      • as a majority becomes more likely, they get to be part of government - and have 3 years for voters to forget they crossed the floor,
      • enticements, no matter how small.
      • AGM@lemmy.ca
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        2 days ago

        Yeah, just a question of how it’s going to shake out in terms of what weights are given to each these by those MPs, and what enticements are on offer after the majority is achieved. I would imagine those looking for enticements and who were smart about it are the ones who already made the moves, expecting that their best opportunity would be gone once the majority is achieved. Probably also some who looked for enticements to stay too, and what Poilievre was willing to offer them would also have been a factor in the decision.

        • sbv@sh.itjust.works
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          2 days ago

          I’m curious if they’d be able to have that conversation in Poilievre’s Conservative Party. From what the previous floor crossers have said, there isn’t much room for disloyalty.